Major mining deals, potential smelter closures and strategic projects combine with strong metal prices to reshape supply and risk.
Market snapshot: gold futures around $4,015/oz, silver near $48/oz, platinum $1,578/oz and palladium $1,459/oz; copper slid about 1.1% to $5.04/lb while aluminium gained 1.1% to $2,890/ton. Brent and US crude traded near $65/bbl and $61/bbl respectively; natural gas rose 2.6% to $4.27/MMBtu.
Dealflow and strategy: Coeur Mining agreed to acquire New Gold in a roughly $7 billion all-stock merger, consolidating two midsize North American gold producers as record metal prices attract capital. Teck’s recovery at its QB mine has improved merger prospects with Anglo, supporting a potential $53 billion tie-up.
Supply and operations: Glencore is reportedly weighing a shutdown of Canada’s largest copper smelter (annual output north of 300,000 tonnes), a move that would tighten refined supply. China’s interest in Simandou — the world’s largest untapped iron-ore deposit — could reshape global ore flows if developed at scale.
Risks and policy: Kodal Minerals continues lithium operations in Mali despite militant activity; the U.S. approved its first cleanup of abandoned uranium mines, underscoring growing regulatory and ESG pressures across the sector. Markets remain focused on prices, consolidation and geopolitical supply risks.